Guyana’s 2026 oil-revenue projection and conditional net estimate
Kaieteur News cites a US$6.5 billion projection for Guyana’s 2026 profit oil and royalties. Its US$1.13 billion net estimate depends on applying a historical tax ratio; the article says the actual 2026 tax amount is unavailable, and its stated tax estimate does not match the calculation implied by that ratio.
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Kaieteur News cites a Bank of Guyana projection that Guyana will receive US$6.5 billion from profit oil and royalties in 2026. The article estimates total revenue at US$25.41 billion, deriving that amount from projected royalties of US$508.1 million, or 2% of total revenue. It puts Guyana’s profit share at US$5.97 billion and describes its combined profit and royalty receipts as 25.5% of total revenue before consortium taxes are paid on Guyana’s behalf.
The net figure is conditional, not a known 2026 outcome: Kaieteur News says the tax amount for 2026 is unavailable. It cites US$5.2 billion in consortium taxes paid from Guyana’s share during 2020–2024, when Guyana received US$6.3 billion in oil revenue, and applies the resulting 82.54% ratio to the US$6.5 billion projection. The article states a tax estimate of US$5.3 billion; however, 82.54% of US$6.5 billion is about US$5.37 billion, or US$5.4 billion rounded to one decimal place. Using the unrounded calculation leaves approximately US$1.13 billion, the net estimate reported by the article.
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